All over town, Tebo's empty buildings have these three signs.
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
David Thielen - lying Boulder blogger
As usual, David is a moron who fundamentally does not understand why Boulder is a great town. but what do you expect from a failed computer entrepreneur. Boulder is great because of limited growth, plus an educated population with the University and Federal labs as anchors. Boulder is not great because of businessmen like Barry Siff, newcomers, who idea of vision is to build and grow us into an unlivable town, like Broomfield, Louisville, and Lafayette.
The Progressives in this town are the Sierra Club and PLAN-Boulder County. To deny this is to live in Highlands Ranch. Without these groups, there would be a line of housing extending south to Golden and southeast to Broomfield. Traffic would be a nightmare and city services and social services would be non-existence.
Dont' vote for registered Republican Siff. He is not a progressive. And David Thielen, he is one Boulder blogger that can't tell the truth.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
Who will win.
The biz community going after Macon essentially ensures his reelection to a four year term. The opposition candidates are extremely week, with only KC having any experience or community ties. Barry Siff, wtf. Anybody with such a transparent "i know best" attitude (the kind that makes David Thielin pant with joy) cannot possiblely win a seat.
The biz community has not put up a strong enough slate to defeat Macon. Boulder is full of serious people who understand the growth issue, Barry Siff is not a serious person, he is a weird self promoter. That is not the kind of person who will get the 8,000 votes. (Barry, you will have no probelm winning in Broomfield, I suggest a move).
Candidates without any real ties to the community, like Barry Stiff and Feisty Fenno just can't get to the 8,000 number, even with the unlimited developer money they have. Stiff's involvment with the community, which consists of self promoting semi-athletic events, is not the type of involvement that makes any real difference in the community and getting people to support you.
KC is really the only serious opposition candidate. Sure, her switching sides on Planning Board to the growth side might cost her votes. But the conservatives and developers have no one else to vote for. And her background in Democratic politics is enough to make her a serious candidate though. She will get some of this vote.
The top vote getter last time was Ken Wilson. Ageton and Ken love their position as top vote getters, but that was under different circumstances when Suzy was totally unknown (as Ken was last time). Ageton is solidly pegged as a pro-growther now, and her busy body attitude has cost her a lot of the Democratic Women support that was key to her large vote total. The last council was elected to put a stop to Ruzzin and Ageton, which it did. So i don't see her as the number one vote getter in this election. The last election shows how things will play out.
Ken Wilson 9,815 10.4%
Crystal Gray 9,419 10%
Susan M. Osborne 9,155 9.7%
Lisa Morzel 8,808 9.3%
Angelique Espinoza 8,322 8.8%
Macon Cowles 8,236 8.7%
Matthew Appelbaum 6,838 7.2%
Susan K. Peterson 4,419 4.7%
Eugene Pearson 4,154 4.4%
Shawn L. Coleman 3,738 4%
Adam Massey 3,250 3.4%
There is nothing from the last election results that shows the Daily Camerag's wishes of a pro-biz council will happen. The only pure biz candidates, with no support from Sierra Club or the traditional Democrats, did very poorly. That was looser Adam. The only way for biz candidates to get on is to get some strength from other communities, and only KC has that. It would also presume the total disapparance of the PLAN boulder and Sierra Club vote, which is not going to happen in two years.
The Little Angel got her 8,000 votes by getting the biz vote and her deep involvement in Democratic Women. This is what KC has for this election and so this train wreck will either be fourth or fifth. The only chance of defeating her is if people see her candidacy as the deception that it is, which Boulder voters won't.
Macon is not in trouble. He lost the first time over name recognition, the people that voted for him last time will vote for him again. Thus, and easy 8,000 votes. In fact, he is likely to be the top vote getter. The 8,000 who voted for him last time knew exactly what he was going to do on council and he did it. Given the weakness of the candidates against him, people are not going to switch from Macon to Stiff and Fenno.
Applebaum did very poorly last time in a deep field. He actually will need more people to vote for him last time, which would make him a more viable pick off than Macon. But the 1500 people who voted for the other winners and not for him last election did not vote for him because of his reputation. I think that the hesitancy over his reputation is now gone. Suzy and Macon just need the same vote totals to win. While Suzy has lost votes, she has not lost enough to put her in any serious trouble. Apple will need to get 1500 people to vote for him who did not in the last election. This will be tough.
Suzy is probably ensured re-election. But remember how poorly Tom did in his waning years. I think that fourth place is possible for her. But she will probably be first or second.
So this leaves Fenno, Stiff, Raj, and Plass for the last seat. Fenno is a pure biz developer candididate, this does not get him to 8,000. That puts you in Adam Massey, Scott Gershorn territory of 3,000-5,000 votes, so no seat for him. Same with Stiff. Stiff is the Richard Polk of the election, with his own quirkly weirdness. But he also has a fatal "I know better" attitude that will not win him any friends. Likewise, Raj is in the Eugune Pearson range of votes, she will get all the liberals, but that is not enough to ger her out of the 5,000 range.
So Plass is the test and the likely fifth seat. If Boulder really has decided that it is not is not anti-growth, and that the last council was not put in place to limit pops and scrapes, then Tim is done. However, the desparate attacks of the money interests, the scrapebaggers, along with the Camera's attacks, illustrate just how unlikely all of that is. The Ruzzin council was elected secretly, people thought they were getting environmentalists, not developers. They were thrown out handily. Things have not changed, Newlands residents and developers are not even close to a majority. So the vote will be:
Macon - 10,000
Suzy - 8700
Appelbaum - 8250
Plass - 8200
KC - 8000
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Scrapebaggers.
The Daily Camera rag will, like Foxnews and the teabaggers, push the developer protest story to death, much like the Dick and Edie story, even though there is no real community support for their position. And just like the teabaggers, their loudness will have no real effect. Warren Hullquist has just ensured Macon's election to a 4 year term. With the election of Macon, the developers will have two more years in purgatory, giving the counsel a chance to firm up the Board's with liberals/environmentalists. If they were smart, they would go after Tim Plass. Applehead is not always a reliable vote. With Tim on the council, only Suzy and the little shit will be reliable votes for monster houses and shit-hole downtown buildings.
So the developers and the Camera will push the conservative/real estate money candidates. But this field of candidates is so week, they really have no chance other than to get KC on.
First offender is KC Becker. Have you seen her fucking yard signs? Its a picture of a mother throwing her child in front of a bulldozer, just sick. Easy Camera endorsement. They will praise here willingness to look at the tough issues and seek compromise. Fuck that, move to Broomfield with your developer husband. She is the real danger to environmental position on council
Barry Stiff is also the nextCamera endorsee. Uriah Heath will write a story for the Camera promoting his ability to see both side of the issue. Also, someone who would approve a developer building a four story high building on the cite of the Camera rags building they so desperately need to sell.
At this point, there is no one left to endorse. So they will have to endorse Matt. They will then review liberal pretender Thielin's blog and endorse whoever he picks.
Suzy is un-beatable. But she will never be mayor and has cemented her position as a generally disliked bitch. Why exactly does she want to be on council?
Macon and Matt will come in second and third. Both will get their four year term and create hell for Suzy and Ken. Liberals will control council with Lisa, Macon, Crystal, Matt, and Susan.
The real election is whether there will be any developer opposition that matters. Its between KC, Stiff, and Tim P.
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Anti-neighborhood pro growth three
Three on counsel in the developers pockets, per tonight's joint planning board. First Suzy Ageton, Short on ideas and long on political rhetoric about "property rights". Is this person really a Democrat.
Next offender is the short man. While his vague campaign blog,
http://www.kenwilson.org, indicates that he will solve the pop and scrap issue, his performance at the meeting tonight indicates a guy who never met a pop he wouldn't scrap.
If this guy smokes, he is the next Richard Polk. This guy puts the little in in shit.
Finally, the Little Angel, who proves that being cute means you really are dumb. Campaign "chest" full of developer money.
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
Dump Suzy Agetator
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
Accurate prediction yet again
I didn't predict Joan would loose, but given her poor campaign and lack of presence in Boulder, its not a shock. Looking for theories for why should lost heavy union area Adams County.
Jared spent over $300 per vote. Hope his new hobby is worth it.
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Rollie wins
Cindy Carlisle 3,686 43% 40%
Rollie Heath 4,883 57% 53%
______
Jared is winning Boulder by 300 and loosing Jefferson by 100. Denver post is showing him with 800 vote lead, which should be enough for him to win. Mountain counties could give this to Joan, but she is probably only looking at less than a 1000 voters in each county. I assume that Joan campaigned heavily in the mountains knowing that Boulder would split. But her poor campaign probably cost her.
Will is out, he could have cost Jared the election by the 500 votes Jared needs to win.
Wednesday, August 6, 2008
Cindy v Rollie
Rollie's only chance was to run a good campaign, which he did. He walked the entire district and met plenty of voters.
It takes 3500 votes to win the nomination.
Too close to call. How about Cindy 3800, Rollie 3300
Or: Rollie 3650; Cindy 3400.
Talk about covering my bases.
100% accurate election prediction.
Dummy libertarian David Thielen thinks Boulder has political elite that directs it. It does, but it doesn't work the way that rightie Thielen thinks it does. First, the newspaper in this town are not part of the political elite, the paper is quite to the right of the political elite in Boulder. Second, the political elite is not some kind of patronage network as Shaun Coleman thinks (which is why he is an utter failure as a city council candidate). This is a small town you two dumb guys, people know each other, and the political forces are shaped by Open Space politics, the neighborhoods, (especially (1) downtown and the Hill and (2) Table Mesa and Martin Acres), Democratic Women, and the University. That's it, nothing else.
Second CD. Riding my single speed down Mapleton Ave.. There are 13 Will Schafroth signs. There are no Polis signs or Fitz-Gerald signs. Mapleton Riding around Table Mesa, you don't see the same number of Will signs. Boulder liberals have rejected Joan in favor of Will. But Will is not cutting into Joan anywhere else in the District, he is killing Jared. Without Will in the race, Jared would win, but Will has killed Jared's potential Boulder base. But the rest of the district is clueless about this race.
What's more, Joan still has big support among Democratic Women (note to Thielen, notice the capitalized letters, I am not talking about women that are Democrats).
It takes 17,000 votes to win the Second CD. Joan will win. 85% chance.
Monday, August 4, 2008
Camera Endorsement - Polis sucks
While Will Shafroth has benefited from other major newspaper endorsements, Jared Polis has managed to annoy and alienate large numbers of
Boulder County voters as follows:
1.) His phony pose as a progressive has been seen through because of his free market conservative ideology as evidenced by his call
for the privatization of the Post Office.
2.) Polis would not repudiate campaign contributors such as Alex Cranberg, the big oilman of Swift Boat attack ad on Kerry infamy.
3.) Jared is too full of ego and
new mega-money and thinks he can buy people. In Boulder County this will not fly.
4.) All along, whether in whispers, e-mail or
TV ads, the Polis campaign has attempted to smear Fitz-Gerald with a series of lies and
distortions about ties to Oil & Gas. It's a case
about a Big Lie. Please go to www.OpenSecrets.org
and learn more about Jared who is ethically challenged but thinks himself smarter than he
actually is.
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Schafroth is most "boulder" candidate
"...what really impressed us about Shafroth was his measured take on the issues. His views are more realistic and consistent with the 2nd Congressional District..."
"Congress doesn't need more politicians. It needs more level heads, and people who are beholden only to their constituents. We think Shafroth fits that bill."
Egomaniac Polis probably will not pull it out this time, but he will be running the rest of his life until he finally wins.
Monday, July 21, 2008
Shawn Coleman, the Manchurian delegate
Remember Mo Siegell, yeah, the Celestial Seasons guy. He was elected DNC delegate for Dukakis from Boulder. But like Shawn, he is a self-righteous prick. And, he broke his promise to the caucus goers and didn't vote the way he was elected.
I see Shawn doing the same thing. Maybe he will read the New Yorker profile of Obama, an incredible article to read if you want to understand Obama. http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/07/21/080721fa_fact_lizza
Shawn will decide that Obama is just a typical Chicago politician (which thank god he is) and vote for some whacked out character.
David Thielen fails to understand Cindy Carlisle's conflict of interest
Friday, July 18, 2008
This M-Fer is an Obama DNC delegate?
"Boulder county is a for all intensive purposes a Uni-party county. Republicans rarely run and when they do they loose in a landslide. This is dangerous for democracy as well as the democratic party. Just because the conservative mindset is the minority does not mean they do not deserve representation. Further the "can't loose" mindset of the Democrats has created a system of spoils. The answer to potential candidates who would consider running for office is "wait your turn". . . . Apparently absolute power does corrupt absolutlely and the once hopeful progressive Boulder County Democratic machine is slowly becoming the Republican party it replaced. "
Was stupid Shawn Coleman even here when the Republican party was in power. Does Shawn remember Buzz Smith? Shawn is pissed because he was rejected by the voters for his ultra-pro growth views, which are completely out of touch with this community.
Clearly, this guy has no business being a DNC delegate.
Thursday, July 17, 2008
PAC it away
He may be to dumb to be a Congressman.
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/politics/16707348/detail.html
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Rollie Heath v. Cindy
Alice Madden State Representative
Gail Schwartz State Senator
Ed Perlmutter U.S. Congressman
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Cindy Carlisle endorsed by dopes
Cindy has a bad temper and has a reputation for loosing her friends. While if she wins the seat, she will be there for her 8 years, her letter and lack of serious endorsements shows she will get nothing done on her own. She simply can't play with other's nice.
Rollie's reputation as a "business guy" will hurt among Boulder's liberals, and most people have not figured out Cindy's bad temper. Can Rollie knock on enough doors to make a difference?
And guess what, comments turned back on so the dopes can respond!
Thursday, June 26, 2008
Monday, May 12, 2008
Shawn Coleman finds his calling
But state and national politics are different. Shawn should get out of poisonous city politics and focus on the state, where youth counts and broad ideas matter. Also, growth has a completely different meaning at the state level, where a broad environmental position is all that is needed for a Democrat. And people that wouldn't even think about having him on city council would happily have him in a state or national position.