Thursday, November 1, 2007

Nail in Adam's Coffin

David Thielin gets it right, realtor's endorsement is the nail in Adam's coffin. The big developer support of Angie Espinoza will probably not hurt her, given her deep Democratic party roots and human service support. She is also a small businesswoman, so her ties will not hurt her with most voters.

Rutherford's increase in name recognition, because of big developer support, will not help. Being pegged as THE developer candidate is not going to help, especially after the Washington School vote by council. With no broad support, he gets only the development and conservative vote, which is worth less than the 10,000 votes required.

Sorry folks, Coleman is going nowhere. Despite the paper endorsements, he simply is not well known enough and lacks a campaign. People do not vote for competence, they vote for people who support their positions. Colman is running as the competent candidate, which isn't enough. Further, blogging and going to candidate forums is not a campaign. How many people are volunteering for Coleman. Five, two, zero? I bet its one of these numbers. How many people are volunteering for Sierra Club and Plan B. 50, 100, 250? How many flyers did these groups send out. 40,000? Despite the supposed buzz around Coleman, he is going to be defeated soundly because (1) no campaign or money (2) he is not in touch with Boulder voters on the issues they care about, ie, the environment, growth and city services. Remember, the vast majority of voters do not know the candidates, and briefly reviewing the candidates, there is nothing about Coleman that stands out. People do not sit in the living rooms and decide "I'm going to vote for Coleman because he says he is going to do a good job"; instead they say "I'm going to vote for Lisa Morzel because she's against density development like Washington School and the Transit Village."

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