Endorsements of others

To win a council seat, you need a strong base in the community and support from many different types of Bouderites. If you run for counsel, and focus on one group, you loose. My prediction is that this election will show the following about endorsements:

1. Daily Camera and Colorado Daily endorsements: The election will show that this endorsement is worth 2,000 to 3,000 votes. Coleman's lack of community base and campaign, but getting these endorsements, isn't enough to get him to the 10,000 mark. Shawn simply does not know enough people to win a seat. Cowles lack of the endorsement costs him, but he was already at 9,000 votes last time, so the hard work he has done means he will easily get the extra 1,000 votes he needs to win a seat, despite no paper. For Crystal, Susan, Ken and Angie, the paper endorsement puts them into the solid upper four spots, away from the bottom feeders that will get two-year terms.

2. BOC and FI-DOS. Polk won with BOC and the paper endorsement, getting 2,000 votes he lacked the last time. And he had a solid base in the community, with lots of connections, to different wheelers and "dealers". Massey is the new Polk in this election (not only because he smokes") but because he has gone after the recreation endorsement and he got 1/2 the paper endorsement. But does he have a base in the community? Or a girlfriend? These endorsements are worth a couple thousand votes, but there doesn't seem to be anything else. Without the years of building connections, serving on downtowns boards, etc., these endorsements will prove to not be enough. The candidates that will greatly benefit from these endorsements again is Susan, big Ken Wilson and Angie, who have such broad support, they will get twice the votes.

Some of the other candidates that were not endorsed by these groups will still do well because they have inroads into these groups membership. Macon's dog bites everybody, so he will get a good 1/2 of the FI-DOS members anyway.

3. PLAN Boulder, Sierra Bub verses human services- A candidate can be opposed by the slow growth movement and still win, but not if they are only a businessperson. Riggle, Burger Tom all had big inroads into the Human Services community to offset any of those small building people. Rutherford has no crossover vote from the environmental or Human Service community, his appeal is only pro development and pro law enforcement. Massey's crossover to the slow growth and Sierra Bub voters seems limited. Yes he bike commutes, but that's easy if your not working (and high).

4. Mark Ruzzin - Polk isn't the only little shit leaving council. Our know-it-all mayor has endorsed a number of candidates. Since 40% of the voters have no idea who the mayor is, it probably has not significantly helped either Ken Wilson or Adam Massey. Ken was already going to win, and so was Adam, if he had managed to "commute" to work.