Thursday, October 4, 2007

The Real Big Line - UPDATED FOR THURSDAY

As pointed out by my favorite uninformed blogger, there were many mistakes in my predictions, including grammatical, spelling, and incorrect political observations. So The Real Bigline has been updated and corrected. No more mean spiritedness, but just pure politics. Now with corrected odds of winning, because after all, in politics, its the horse race that matters.

THE REAL BIG LINE - Candidates are listed in the order they will finish.

Slam dunk - these candidates will win unless they are caught reading David Thielin's blog to Larry Craig.

Ken Wilson (1-1) : Davis Thielin has this this one right, he will win. Winning the yard sign war.

Susan Osborne (2:1) : Susan has been around forever dude, she knows policy, and she has the endorsements of not only PLAN Boulder perfect County, but also those reactionary jerks over at the Burrell Outdoor Coalition. (Buzz, you really are a XXXXXXXX loud and dramatic). She will be either one or two in the number of votes, or place third.

Angelique Espinoza (2-1) : Ok, David is good. You go girl, your going to win. And we need a hottie to replace cute Robyn Bohannan. Plus, she is the only Boulder Tomorrow candidate, and those upstanding Boulder developers have got to get behind one candidate. The probably can't all vote for Adam because, not only has he well, he's never had a job. (Adam apparently has abaondoned his slow growth position.) Angelique likes them buildings, and she likes up over 55 feet, thank you mam. If you think the West End sucks now, just wait until Angelique gets them buildin's. Angie will place THIRD. Angelique has lots of yard signs .

Crystal Gray (1-1) : In a normal town, Crystal would finish first. But because Gray makes common sense decisions, BOC didn't endorse her. They prefer to back candidates that have no track record on BOC issues. They want to roll the dice and see if they get someone crazy enough to support their positions, i.e, (Suzy Ageton and Ollie!)

Crystal will not be the top vote getter, as earlier predicted, but will come in fourth. Susan and Ken will do better, because they got the Plan perfect Boulder County endorsement, as well as the Buzz Burrel endorsement from BOC. Well liked by everybody, and out in the community, and yard signs everywhere, except for Martin Acres, South Boulder and East Boulder, as well as North. OK, yard signs only in downtown. She owns three dogs, all of whom bite, so why FI-DOS didn't endorse her, what a bark.

TWO YEAR SEAT: The FOLLOWING TWO will get a two year seat, they have enough support, but enough negative to keep them out of the four year seats.

Matthew Applebaum (5-1) : Thielin has this one wrong, while Matt has support, he is disliked by people that have met him. But smart smart smart, in fact, smarter than Suzy Ageton. However, he is disliked enough that he is out of the running for a four year seat and will only get a crappy two year seat. This will piss him off and he will resign.

Adam Massey (6-1) : I have rethought Adam. While he is Lazy Adam Massey, the BOC endorsement, and their brain dead members, will get him a two year seat. Thielin actually though Plan perfect Boulder County would endorse him. I say "Clueless!!", Adam never had a chance for that endorsement because (1) he is a slacker and (2) he is pro-growth and pro plus 55 foot height limit. Adam on council will teach us the meaning of slacker arrogance. Adam knows more that you, he really does, but he won't tell you why he does, because frankly, your not smart enough to understand. Him on counsel will be a hoot; Suzy Ageton will actually scowl and hit his hand with a ruler when talks!

THE RACE - THIS IS WHAT YOU, THE VOTER WILL DECIDE

You, the voter, have no control over the above six candidates winning. You will only decide who the seventh seat goes to.

Lisa Morzel (10-1) : Lisa is number one for the seventh seat. She is well known, and thinks Suzy Ageton is "difficult". She's got me and Rob Smoke's vote because well, because she is difficult. While David Thielin doesn't like environmentalists, Lisa is one, and Boulder has lots of them, ie. Sierra Club.

Macon Cowles (11-1) : Barely lost to toke-a-Polk, so has a chance. Loosing to Richard Polk is not easy, but he did it. His voters are the same as Lisa's, most will choose Lisa because of her better knowness. Sorry Macon, in a different year he would win. Macon could pull this one out, and beat Lisa and Adam, if he decides to do some hard work, which means door knocking, and talking to as many people as possible. Relying on yard signs, forums, Thielin's stupid blog, and mailings only gets you eighth place.

Macon should know that road biking doesn't count for BOC backing, it has to be a mountain bike. Buzz knows that if you don't run over 20 miles a day, your a wimp. And your dogs have to be fairly well behaved, i.e., poop is bagged in the dog's colon, to get the FI-DOS endorsement.

Eugene Pearson (10-1) : Gay in Boulder. Frankly, the gay scene in this town sucks; it appears all there is to do if your a gay man is run for office. (See Jared Polis). How you can stand us Eugene, I cannot fathom, we are not cool. Eugene will finish 9th. The wildcard here is whether the human service community is big enough to make up for the BOC people that will vote against Eugene.

Totally impossible. None of these candidates will win.

Susan Peterson (11-1) : Never heard of her. Plan Broomfield County endorsement meaningless without a good campaign.

Alan O'Hashi (19-1) : Who? Oh, I know this guy, he owns a computer, just like David Thielin. Cool!

Philip Hernandez (20-1) : Who? He doesn have yards sings

Philip Bradley (30-1) : Who? He doesn't live in Broomfield, I was told, but he does stop at the Arby's when he gets the muchies. Nudge nudge.

Shawn Coleman (99-1) : Young ambitious and only one of three minority candidates. Republican. Republican. Coleman will not win. Ahh, but in 2009 . . .

Kathryn Kramer (42-1) : Who?

Tom Riley (49-1) : Also owns a computer, and sends out emails.

Rob Smoke (70-1) : Oh, I know this guy. He tries to date women too young for him. I know this, because his myspace page is close to mine.

Seth Brigham (75-1) : Snore ., . . there still more candidates, give me a break, none of the remaining people have the slightest clue, let's just stop here.

2 comments:

Crystal said...

Real Liberal:
Dog update!
I really only have one dog my yellow lab-Peaches- who will be appearing on my brochere with me-I hope I don't loose the cat vote. The other two are my son's dogs that are staying with me while he is climbing Kilimanjaro on his honey moon. One is a 2 year old lab-Gamble-who is an avalanche rescue dog at Squaw Valley. Gamble actually gets a pay check. The other is a 12 year old golden retriever. So my house is pretty much a dog spa. None of them bite! But Brandi, my yellow lab who died, did chase Jim Crain one day. Too much info on dogs?
If you want more call me!

Unknown said...

You say at the top of your page that you've met all the candidates in the running, Have we met? email me at shawn@coleman4council.org, happy to talk to you about local politics, and for the last time I'm not a republican, (not that being one is bad), you can go to the county and look information like that up. I also actually think that people voting for a candidate because of the party instead of the candidate is part of the problem of government at all levels. I rarely vote a party line, I listen to the candidates and pick the one who's leadership qualities I like best. Not voting for a qualified intelligent candidate because of a letter after their name is the same as note voting for them because their Black, or a Woman or any other myopic and un-important bias. Anyway email me, we'll get coffee or a beer . . . Cheers
-Shawn